Daily News 22 11 2024

Important News of the Day

Zaman Önem Ülke Olay Beklenen Önceki Açıklanan
00:30 United States (USD) Fed's Balance Sheet 6,967B 6,924B
00:40 United States (USD) Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks
02:30 Japan (JPY) National Core CPI (YoY) (Oct) 2.2% 2.4% 2.3%
03:30 Japan (JPY) au Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI (Nov) 49.7 50.2
10:00 United Kingdom (GBP) Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct) -0.3% 0.1% -0.9%
10:00 United Kingdom (GBP) Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Oct) 3.3% 3.2% 2.0%
10:00 United Kingdom (GBP) Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct) -0.3% 0.1% -0.7%
10:00 United Kingdom (GBP) Retail Sales (YoY) (Oct) 3.4% 3.2% 2.4%
10:00 Germany (EUR) German GDP (YoY) (Q3) -0.2% -0.2% -0.3%
10:00 Germany (EUR) German GDP (QoQ) (Q3) 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
11:30 Germany (EUR) HCOB Germany Manufacturing PMI (Nov) 43.1 43.0 43.2
11:30 Germany (EUR) HCOB Germany Services PMI (Nov) 51.8 51.6 49.4
11:30 Euro Zone (EUR) ECB President Lagarde Speaks
11:40 Euro Zone (EUR) ECB's De Guindos Speaks
12:00 Euro Zone (EUR) HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Nov) 46.0 46.0 45.2
12:00 Euro Zone (EUR) HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Nov) 50.0 48.1
12:00 Euro Zone (EUR) HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Nov) 51.6 51.6 49.2
12:30 United Kingdom (GBP) S&P Global/CIPS UK Composite PMI (Nov) 51.8 49.9
12:30 United Kingdom (GBP) S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI (Nov) 50.1 49.9 48.6
12:30 United Kingdom (GBP) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI (Nov) 52.3 52.0 50.0
14:15 Euro Zone (EUR) ECB Supervisory Board Member Tuominen Speaks
16:00 Germany (EUR) German Buba President Nagel Speaks
16:30 Canada (CAD) Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) 0.5% -0.8% 0.9%
16:30 Canada (CAD) New Housing Price Index (MoM) (Oct) 0.1% 0.0% -0.4%
16:30 Canada (CAD) Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
16:30 Canada (CAD) Wholesale Sales (MoM) (Oct) 0.9% -0.6%
17:45 United States (USD) S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Nov) 48.8 48.5
17:45 United States (USD) S&P Global Composite PMI (Nov) 54.1
17:45 United States (USD) S&P Global Services PMI (Nov) 55.2 55.0
18:00 United States (USD) Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Nov) 2.6% 2.7%
18:00 United States (USD) Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Nov) 2.6% 2.7% 1
18:00 United States (USD) Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Nov) 3.1% 3.0%
18:00 United States (USD) Michigan Consumer Expectations (Nov) 78.5 74.1
18:00 United States (USD) Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Nov) 3.1% 3.0% 1
18:00 United States (USD) Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Nov) 73.0 70.5
18:45 Euro Zone (EUR) ECB's Schnabel Speaks
21:00 United States (USD) U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 478
21:00 United States (USD) U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 584
23:30 United Kingdom (GBP) CFTC GBP speculative net positions 56.0K
23:30 United States (USD) CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions 186.9K
23:30 United States (USD) CFTC Gold speculative net positions 236.5K
23:30 United States (USD) CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions 16.4K
23:30 United States (USD) CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions 25.0K
23:30 Australia (AUD) CFTC AUD speculative net positions 29.8K
23:30 Japan (JPY) CFTC JPY speculative net positions -64.9K
23:30 Euro Zone (EUR) CFTC EUR speculative net positions -7.4K

Apple Prepares to Enhance Siri with ChatGPT-like Features - Bloomberg

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Apple Inc. is actively working on an advanced version of Siri that promises more natural and conversational interactions akin to those seen in OpenAI's ChatGPT. According to reports, this still-secret initiative involves the application of sophisticated large language models (LLMs) to enable dynamic back-and-forth dialogues. The revamped Siri is designed to process complex queries more swiftly and is part of Apple's broader goal to strengthen its presence in the artificial intelligence (AI) field.

Last month, Apple unveiled the Apple Intelligence platform. However, despite its significant announcement, this platform lags behind the functionality offered by other technology industry leaders. The advanced voice assistant, internally referred to by the Apple team as "LLM Siri," is expected to be integrated into the Apple Intelligence package. LLMs, which form the foundation of generative AI, analyze vast data sets to recognize patterns and respond to inquiries.

Apple is currently testing the updated Siri software through an independent application across various devices, including iPhones, iPads, and Macs. This technology is planned to eventually replace the current Siri interface. Plans indicate that Apple could introduce the renewed system, codenamed Luck and Cheer, as part of the upcoming iOS 19 and macOS 16 updates as early as 2025.

The new Siri won't be part of next year's hardware lineup but is anticipated to be available to consumers around spring 2026. However, due to the announcement being months away, details regarding the launch timeline and features may change.

An Apple spokesperson preferred not to comment on the developments.

The next version of Siri will leverage new Apple AI models to provide more human-like interaction and task management, similar to ChatGPT and Google's Gemini. It will also expand the use of App Intents for more detailed control over third-party applications and incorporate functionalities from Apple Intelligence, such as text writing and summarization capabilities.

Despite Apple's introduction of the AI platform in June as the beginning of a new Siri era, the initial updates were largely aesthetic. These included a new interface and the addition of a writing option as an alternative to voice commands. The upcoming iOS 18 is set to offer more enhancements, allowing Siri to utilize customer data for contextual command responses and to determine whether requests should be processed by the existing Siri system or a secondary LLM for more complex tasks.

The next-generation LLM in iOS 19 will establish a complete system with advanced ChatGPT-like features. Meanwhile, Apple plans to integrate ChatGPT into Apple Intelligence next month and subsequently offer additional chatbot options similar to Gemini. The goal for the new Siri is to prioritize user privacy while internally combining these capabilities. However, Apple may continue to provide third-party AI systems for specialized functions.

Recent job postings by Apple indicate a heightened focus on developing a more conversation-centric Siri. These postings reflect Apple's long-standing desire to enhance Siri's interaction capabilities, showcasing its search for expertise in conversational AI interfaces. The Siri interaction team, led by Apple’s Vice President of Human Interface Design Alan Dye, has transitioned from the AI division to the software interface group to advance these efforts.

Crypto Market Sees Appetite for Risk Soar to Historic Levels

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The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has reached a level of 94 today, indicating extreme risk appetite conditions in the market. This rise shows that the cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin, continues its strong upward trajectory. The index, which ranges from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed), measures investors' perceptions of the crypto market and provides insight into its direction.

Factors driving the index upwards include Bitcoin's rally in November, which brought it to all-time highs, boosting overall market optimism. As Bitcoin’s market dominance continues to rise, investor confidence remains high. Additionally, the overall market momentum and the increase in trading volumes are contributing to the index’s rise. Increased trading volumes and positive momentum have significantly contributed to the sharp increase in the index. While spot Bitcoin ETFs and institutional interest notably impact market activities, the Fear and Greed Index has jumped from 82 to 94, a 12-point rise since yesterday. Social media and investor interest also support the index. Google trends and activities on social media reflect a growing individual interest in Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Surveys indicate that investors have a positive outlook for the upcoming months.

As a result, the Fear and Greed Index has reached levels last seen in February 2021. The increase in extreme risk appetite brings along a correction risk. The high market optimism suggests that many investors expect price increases to continue. However, historically, regions of extreme risk appetite can signal potential market corrections. While institutional investors may view current conditions as an opportunity for long-term positions, individual investors motivated by FOMO (fear of missing out) can also influence price increases during such periods. Analysts predict that Bitcoin may continue to guide the market, and as the index approaches the 100 level, warnings are given regarding potential corrections due to overbought conditions. In the long term, interest in cryptocurrencies supported by macroeconomic trends, such as inflation concerns and the depreciation of fiat currencies, is expected to persist. Considering these risks, it is crucial to closely monitor market developments, especially in the region of extreme risk appetite, and to be prepared.

This Week in Precious Metals: 8,291 kg of Gold and 33,054 kg of Silver Traded

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Forex -

McDonald's Revamps McValue Menu for 2025

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McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) USA is preparing to launch a new value menu called McValue in its restaurants starting January 7, 2025. This platform aims to enrich customers' dining experiences with various affordable offers. The McValue menu will include existing favorites like the $5 Meal Deal, along with new options such as Buy One, Add One for $1, valid for breakfast, lunch, and dinner.

Joe Erlinger, President of McDonald's USA, emphasized the company's efforts to cater to individual customer preferences by offering a flexible platform that allows customers to define value on their own terms. The new value platform was developed in collaboration with franchise owners and is designed to provide savings on both personalized orders and popular items like the $5 Meal Deal.

The Buy One, Add One for $1 initiative will allow customers to pair a full-priced menu item from the McValue menu with another item for an additional $1. This offer includes breakfast menu items such as the Sausage McMuffin, Sausage Biscuit, Sausage Burrito, and Hash Browns. Lunch and dinner options include 6-piece Chicken McNuggets, Double Cheeseburger, McChicken, and Small Fries.

The $5 Meal Deal, which includes a McDouble or McChicken sandwich, small fries, 4-piece Chicken McNuggets, and a small soft drink, has been extended throughout the summer and will now be part of the McValue platform. While prices and participation may vary, some restaurants may price the McDouble menu option at $6, this deal continues to be a cornerstone of the new value offerings.

Franchise owners nationwide will continue to reflect their commitment to providing value to customers by offering local promotions and app-based deals. Cory Watson, National Value President and McDonald's Owner/Operator for 2025, stressed the importance of competitive pricing for customers and highlighted ongoing efforts to provide great local offers, including exclusive discounted pricing on items like iced coffees and cheeseburgers, as well as unique menu bundles.

The McValue platform and offers will be accessible at any McDonald's nationwide and via the MyMcDonald's app starting January 7, 2025. Local offers and promotions will vary, as franchise owners are independent operators who set their own pricing.

Gold and Silver Market Sees Transactions of 447 kg Gold and 8,035 kg Silver Today

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Forex -

NGCUSD

Daily Newsletter
22 Nov 2024 10:30

U.S. natural gas futures showed limited correction movements as they attempted to sustain their gains amid cold weather forecasts and an unexpected drop in inventories. It is noted that the performance of European and U.S. stock markets could impact natural gas pricing. Increasing geopolitical risks in the U.S. and statements by Fed Chair Powell regarding interest rate policy are causing uncertainty in the markets. Particularly, the PMI data to be released in the U.S. and the UK could provide insights into the future of economic activity.

When examining the NGCUSD pair on the daily chart, prices are observed to be trading below the 3.5 - 3.535 support zone. As long as it remains below this level, downward pressure may be felt. In upward movements, the 3.63 and 3.68 levels can be monitored as resistance. The RSI indicator is at 42, indicating a negative outlook. There was a 0.09% decline compared to the previous day. If sustainability above the 3.5 level cannot be achieved, the 3.44 and 3.4 support levels may come into focus.

DAXEUR

Daily Newsletter
22 Nov 2024 10:30

The DAX 40 index is following a negative trend with limited weekly changes under the influence of overall global market uncertainty and economic indicators. Despite the optimism observed in U.S. stock markets, the pressure seen in European markets is affecting the DAX's performance. Particularly, upcoming PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone are among the main figures the market is focusing on. The general negative outlook in Europe, excluding the UK, may exert pressure on the index.

Technically, the DAX 40 index is trying to find support at the levels of 19195, 19090, and 18995. Resistance levels are noted at 19350, 19435, and 19530. The RSI indicator is at the level of 56, showing a neutral market outlook. It is crucial for the index to sustain movements above the 19350 resistance level to continue its upward trend. However, a close below the 19195 level could create pressure towards lower levels. The index has recorded a 0.02% decline compared to the previous day.

BRNUSD

Daily Newsletter
22 Nov 2024 10:30

Oil futures continue their rise due to the increasing geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia. Recently, Russia's intercontinental ballistic missile attack on Ukraine heightened risk perception in the markets, influencing oil prices upwards. Additionally, the expectation that OPEC+ may delay the easing of production restrictions at its meeting in early December also supports prices. In light of these developments, movements in the European and US stock markets could also impact oil prices.

Technically, the BRN/USD pair continues to hold above the 73.50 – 74.00 support levels. In upward movements, the resistance levels of 75.00 and 75.50 could be monitored. In case of potential declines, movements below 73.50 could bring the levels of 73.00 and 72.50 into focus. The RSI indicator is close to the 50 level, exhibiting a neutral outlook. The pair has risen by 0.08% on a daily basis, indicating that upward potential still exists.

NDXUSD

Daily Newsletter
22 Nov 2024 10:30

The NASDAQ100 index is experiencing a calm trajectory as movements in the technology sector are limited following Nvidia's financial results, and the 10-year bond yield remains elevated. While interest in cyclical stocks is expected to increase, the index maintains its composure. Leading service and manufacturing PMI data can be monitored throughout the day. The mixed trend in Asian markets and rising geopolitical risks are affecting gold and the dollar. Meanwhile, PMI data in the US and Europe may provide significant insights into economic activity.

Technically, the NASDAQ100 index is trading above the 20680 – 20785 area, supported by the 21-period exponential moving average on the 4-hour time frame. As long as it remains above this area, the index has the possibility of testing resistance levels at 20900 and 21000. However, for a bearish expectation, the index might need to dip below the 20680 – 20785 support zone and close below it on a 4-hour basis. In this scenario, a pullback towards the 20500 and 20375 levels could come into play. The RSI indicator is at level 52, presenting a neutral market outlook. The index has increased by 0.013% compared to the previous day.

XAUUSD

Daily Newsletter
22 Nov 2024 10:30

In a period when geopolitical risks are high, the tension between Ukraine and Russia is supporting gold prices in an upward direction. Especially, Russia’s firing of an intercontinental ballistic missile has increased the demand for safe-haven assets in the markets, contributing to the appreciation of gold. Global economic data and upcoming PMI figures from the US and Europe could also impact developments in the gold market.

Technically, gold is following an upward trend on the 4-hour chart. The levels of 2680, 2670, and 2660 are identified as significant support areas, with the price trading at 2686.93. The resistance levels of 2693 and 2700 are crucial for upward movements, while the RSI indicator is at 65, displaying a positive outlook. An increase of 0.66% compared to the previous day is observed. Based on this data, the upward trend may continue as long as the price does not fall below the 2660 level.

WTIUSD

Daily Newsletter
22 Nov 2024 10:30

WTI oil prices continue to rise under the influence of geopolitical risks. The increasing tension between Ukraine and Russia has escalated, especially with Russia's intercontinental ballistic missile attack. This situation increases uncertainty in energy markets, exerting upward pressure on oil prices. Additionally, speculations that OPEC+ might delay the decision to ease production cuts in December also support oil prices. Developments in European and US stock markets may influence the direction of oil prices.

Technically, WTI oil prices are moving just above the 70.00 level on the daily chart. The 70.00 and 69.50 levels are monitored as support, while the 71.00 and 71.50 levels are followed as resistance in upward movements. The RSI indicator is at the 55 level, displaying a positive outlook. The price has increased by 0.24% compared to the previous day. This technical outlook indicates that if prices remain above the support levels, the potential for an upward trend may be maintained.

USDTRY

Daily Newsletter
22 Nov 2024 10:30

The Turkish Lira continues to show weak performance among emerging market currencies. Particularly diverging negatively alongside currencies like the Philippine Peso and Peruvian Sol, the TL stands out with a 0.11% loss against the USD. In addition to the mixed trend in Asian markets, the increase in geopolitical risks and the expectation that interest rates in the US may remain high for a long time are also boosting demand for the dollar. Under these conditions, the USD/TRY pair is trading at the 34.51 level, and the weak outlook of the TL is leading to upward pressure on the pair.

Technically, the USD/TRY pair may continue its upward movements by staying above the 34.31 support. It is likely to target the 34.57 and 34.66 resistance levels. In particular, maintaining stability above the 34.66 level could further strengthen the current trend. Otherwise, the pair may show a tendency to consolidate between the 34.31 and 34.66 levels. The RSI indicator is displaying a positive outlook at the 59 level. A 0.16% increase in the USD/TRY pair is observed compared to the previous day.

EURUSD

Daily Newsletter
22 Nov 2024 10:30

In global markets, the manufacturing and services PMI data from Europe and the US are attracting investors' attention. While the manufacturing sector in the Eurozone continues to signal contraction, the services sector is showing limited growth. On the US side, PMI data indicate a contraction in manufacturing and a growth trend in the services sector. Additionally, the increase in geopolitical risks and the dollar index approaching its highest levels in a year continue to exert pressure on the EURUSD pair.

On the daily chart, the EURUSD pair is moving closer to the 1.045 support level. In downward movements, the levels of 1.0405 and 1.036 can be monitored as support, while upward reactions should watch the resistance levels of 1.049, 1.0525, and 1.056. The RSI indicator is at 48, presenting a neutral appearance. The pair has declined by 0.08% compared to the previous day. A fall below the 1.045 level could increase the negative trend of the price movement.

GBPUSD

Daily Newsletter
22 Nov 2024 10:30

The GBP/USD pair is following a volatile trend in light of global market developments. The Dollar Index reaching its October 2023 peak, PMI data from the US and Europe, and geopolitical risks are influencing the pair. While data on the UK's manufacturing and service sectors provide important clues about economic activity, on the US side, Fed policies and economic indicators are among the factors determining the pair's direction. Particularly, the strong stance of the Dollar Index puts pressure on GBP/USD, and the results of PMI data might increase this pressure.

From a technical standpoint, the GBP/USD pair continues its movement below the 34 and 55-period exponential moving averages in the 1.2660 - 1.2700 range. If the downward movements continue in the pair, which is currently at 1.2572, the support levels of 1.2560, 1.2520, and 1.2485 can be monitored consecutively. In case of an upward recovery, the resistance levels of 1.2600, 1.2660, and 1.2700 will be prominent. The RSI indicator is at the neutral level of 48. The change in the pair shows a 0.14% decrease compared to the previous day.